Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.036377 0.039605 0.042854 0.046363 0.050041 0.053776 0.057848
2025-11-16 0.030916 0.035664 0.040602 0.046099 0.052023 0.058194 0.065086
2025-11-23 0.027872 0.033819 0.040180 0.047437 0.055435 0.063932 0.073594
2025-11-30 0.025317 0.032182 0.039714 0.048494 0.058356 0.069006 0.081293
2025-12-07 0.022995 0.030552 0.039042 0.049135 0.060662 0.073288 0.088036
2025-12-14 0.020750 0.028797 0.038049 0.049251 0.062245 0.076661 0.093685
2025-12-21 0.019412 0.027987 0.038041 0.050406 0.064933 0.081216 0.100615
2025-12-28 0.017230 0.025980 0.036476 0.049612 0.065264 0.083008 0.104347
2026-01-04 0.015811 0.024814 0.035834 0.049833 0.066712 0.086027 0.109435
2026-01-11 0.014775 0.024057 0.035627 0.050523 0.068669 0.089601 0.115137
2026-01-18 0.013811 0.023323 0.035391 0.051129 0.070489 0.092990 0.120608
2026-01-25 0.011960 0.021269 0.033378 0.049445 0.069470 0.092977 0.122058
2026-02-01 0.010726 0.020006 0.032350 0.048983 0.069948 0.094767 0.125679
2026-02-08 0.009682 0.018938 0.031526 0.048737 0.070664 0.096826 0.129614
2026-02-15 0.009319 0.018840 0.031984 0.050134 0.073420 0.101348 0.136488
2026-02-22 0.008881 0.018598 0.032225 0.051233 0.075796 0.105410 0.142824
2026-03-01 0.008335 0.018148 0.032151 0.051898 0.077613 0.108786 0.148337
2026-03-08 0.007659 0.017446 0.031688 0.052020 0.078719 0.111281 0.152785
2026-03-15 0.007360 0.017326 0.032035 0.053214 0.081191 0.115454 0.159265
2026-03-22 0.006504 0.016220 0.030919 0.052394 0.081043 0.116373 0.161784
2026-03-29 0.006003 0.015676 0.030589 0.052623 0.082234 0.118940 0.166302
2026-04-05 0.005666 0.015389 0.030621 0.053335 0.084047 0.122275 0.171756
2026-04-12 0.005330 0.015077 0.030600 0.053962 0.085740 0.125459 0.177028